What would happen if Putin decided to abandon Ukraine?

Russia claims it has seized four Ukrainian provinces after a series of bogus so-called elections, despite international condemnation. Getty Images via Alexander Nemenov/AFP remove caption

switch to caption Getty Images via Alexander Nemenov/AFP

Russia claims it has seized four Ukrainian provinces after a series of bogus so-called elections, despite international condemnation.

Getty Images via Alexander Nemenov/AFP You could question if Vladimir Putin has cornered himself if you closely follow the developments in Russia and Ukraine.

Thousands of Russians are leaving the nation in an effort to avoid being called up to fight in the conflict. Russia claims to have seized four Ukrainian provinces, yet fake elections were held there, and they are being ridiculed in capitals throughout the world. And Ukraine continues to prevail on the battlefield.

Where does that leave Putin, then? What would occur if he made the decision to declare victory and stop the conflict?

WHY RUSSIANS COULD BE HAPPY WITH A WITHDRAWAL First off, despite the fact that Russia seems to be reeling, analysts do not anticipate Putin to change his strong approach.

According to observers in our nation and abroad, notably Michael McFaul, the former U.S. ambassador to Russia from 2012 to 2014, Putin is unable to admit defeat. He will intensify his efforts, fight to the last end, and possibly even employ nuclear weapons.

“I have long known Putin and have written extensively about him. That would also be my forecast.”
Nevertheless, McFaul said that for the Russian leader, calling an end to the conflict immediately might be the best course of action.

“If he did say, “OK, I’m done,” it would be tragically, and when I say this, I want to underline the term tragically. Let me have Donbas and Crimea, the regions I essentially controlled when he invaded once more in February,’ I believe that many international leaders may support him “said he.

While there is undoubtedly a sizable portion of the Russian population that supports the war, the vast majority of Russians are ambivalent about Putin’s objectives, according to WORLD McFaul, who believes that a decision to withdraw from Ukraine would also be generally well received by the Russian people.

“I believe that most individuals in Russia have no political affiliations. They have no interest in this war, “McFaul declared. “They don’t find the case for it to be convincing. He then declared, “Mission accomplished. I predict that the majority would agree with the statement “We don’t need your sons to go fight in this war.””

RUMBLINGS CAN BE SEEN IN PUTIN’S CIRCLE. As some of Putin’s inner circle have begun to express their disappointment with Russia’s waning performance in the conflict, rifts in support from political elites have begun to appear.

McFaul stated on Monday, “You’re seeing signs, they’re minor indications, we shouldn’t exaggerate them, but I’m struck by how much has transpired just in the last 48 hours.”

Ramzan Kadyrov, the president of the Chechen Republic and a crucial Putin ally, attacked a senior Russian military general in an public post on the messaging app Telegram last Saturday.

Ramzan Kadyrov, the leader of Chechnya, is a major supporter of Putin’s conflict in Ukraine but has openly chastised Russia for its shortcomings in combat. Getty Images – MIKHAIL METZEL/SPUTNIK/AFP remove caption

switch to caption Getty Images – MIKHAIL METZEL/SPUTNIK/AFP

Ramzan Kadyrov, the leader of Chechnya, is a major supporter of Putin’s conflict in Ukraine but has openly chastised Russia for its shortcomings in combat.

Getty Images – MIKHAIL METZEL/SPUTNIK/AFP If it were up to me, “General” Lapin would have been reduced to the rank of soldier, stripped of his honors, handed an assault rifle, and sent to the front to “wash away his shame with blood,” Kadyrov wrote.

Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the private paramilitary group the Wagner Group and another important Putin friend, expressed agreement with Kadyrov’s viewpoint.

“The way Kadyrov expressed himself wasn’t quite my style. However, I can tell Ramzan, you’re a celebrity, so tell it like it is!” According to a press statement by Prigozhin.

Although neither Kadyrov nor Prigozhin have directly criticized Putin, their public criticism of Russia’s military performance is a sharp contrast to the attitude of Russian elites earlier in the conflict.

In February, they weren’t speaking in that manner, according to McFaul. “If that’s what’s being said in public, I can only imagine what elites in Moscow are saying in private right now.”

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